National City (NYSE:NCC)

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Investor Survey (help)

Business Simple to Understand?
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Dominant Industry Leader?
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Management Pay = Financial Results?
Company Possess Barriers to Entry? (swot)
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Strengths greater than Weaknesses? (swot)
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Opportunities greater than Threats? (swot)

SWOT Summary (view, help)

Weakness: Bad Mortgages (0)

Threat: Credit Market Crisis (1)

"Buy" Indicators (help)

Insider Buying (enter symbol)
Share Buybacks (see news)
Takeover Speculation (see news)
Analyst Upgrades (enter symbol)
General Gloom and Doom (news)

"Sell" Indicators (help)

Insider Selling (enter symbol)
Executive Turnover (enter symbol)
High Analyst Ratings (enter symbol)
General Euphoria (news)
Corp. Governance & Pay (enter symbol)

Sponsors

National City Corporation (NCC), a financial holding company, provides commercial and retail banking, mortgage financing and servicing, consumer finance, and asset management services in the United States. It offers credit-related and treasury management services, as well as provides capital markets and international services to large and medium-sized corporations. The company’s products and services also include lines of credit, term loans, leases, automobile floorplan lending, investment real estate lending, asset-based lending, structured finance, syndicated lending, equity and mezzanine capital, and treasury management. In addition, NCC provides small business banking, education finance, and retail brokerage services, as well as offers lending-related insurance services to consumers and small businesses. Its consumer lending products include home equity loans, student loans, credit cards, and other unsecured personal and small business lines of credit. Further, the company offers nonconforming residential mortgage loans and home equity loans for third-party investors. Additionally, NCC provides asset management services consisting of investment management, custody, retirement planning, and other corporate trust services to institutional clients, publicly-traded corporations, charitable endowments, foundations, and unions; and personal wealth management services, such as private banking and credit solutions, brokerage, financial planning, and trust management and administration services for individuals and families. As of December 31, 2006, it operated approximately 1300 branch offices in Ohio, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, and Pennsylvania, as well as operated 470 retail and wholesale mortgage offices in the United States. The company was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Financial Industry Analysis


WikiWealth.com Industry Description: The finance industry encompasses a broad range of organizations that deal with the management of money. Among these organizations are banks, credit card companies, insurance companies, consumer finance companies, stock brokerages, investment funds and some government sponsored enterprises… Read More. Also see the Industry Analysis Home Page.

WikiWealth.com Industry Analysis: During economic recessions, consumers and businesses tend to cut back on expenses and investments to save money during tough economic times. This includes bank loans, raise equity or debt, general spending and many other financial activities. Less spending decreases business revenue and eventually decreases the stock prices of financial services companies. During economic recoveries, consumers have a greater desire to spend money and make business investments. Higher spending increases business revenue and eventually increases stock prices. During longer economic expansions, financial services may actually increase faster than the general market due to large investments by companies and mergers and acquisitions between companies. Consumers have more confidence in the stock market and increase stock investments and private business investments. Over-investment leads to higher inflation and higher interest rates, which make it harder to obtain money.

Financial services companies are also affected by interest rates. The return on money lent minus the expense of borrowing money equals the profits for many financial services companies. When interest rates increase, this raises the expense of borrowing money. Generally, interest rates increase near the end of the expansion phase of the business cycle to slow the potential for inflation. Interest rates are generally lowest during recessions, because inflation risk is lowest and the government wants to encourage business investments by making money relatively cheap to obtain.

Financial Services Industry Statistics Stat Notes
Stock Rating Hold
Potential (safety margin) 20%
WACC Analysis 11%
Enterprise Value Multiples Stat Notes
Revenue EV Multiple 0.8x Low ~ Good for Investors
EBITDA EV Multiple 4.5x Low ~ Good for investors
EBIT EV Multiple 6.7x Low ~ Good for investors
Cash Flow EV Multiple 7.7x Low ~ Good for investors
Book Value EV Multiple 1.0x
Discounted Cash Flow Stat Notes
Revenue Growth 21% High ~ Good for investors
EBITDA Margin 21%
EBIT Margin 18%
Cash Flow Margin 14%
Taxes Rate 22%
Debt-Equity Ratio 1%
ROIC 11%
Reinvestment Rate 20% High ~ Bad for investors
WACC Discount Rate Stat Notes
Risk Free Rate 4% Low ~ Good for Investors
Cost of Debt 7% Low ~ Good for Investors
Equity Risk Premium 5%
Debt Required Return of Debt 5%
Required Return of Equity 9%

1 Investment potential (margin of safety) is a weighted average of the discounted cash flow analysis (DCF), the enterprise value (EV) market multiple analysis, and the Warren Buffett investment analysis. WikiWealth obtains 80% of their quantitative investment potential from fundamental investment analysis.
2 The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) analysis for the industry is a broad representation of the WACC for each individual company. A sub-industry WACC analysis offers both stability and accuracy for each individual company.

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WikiWealth.com Profit Analysis: The best way to profit from financial service stock investments is to find the most undervalued investments (Wall Street and Main Street buy ratings) during economic recessions. Those investments should be undervalued (see Wall Street Analysis on left side), and have high Main Street Common Sense investment ratings (see Main Street Analysis on right side). Interest rates are also lowest during this time period, which decreases the cost of borrowing money for financial service companies.

When an economic recovery occurs, financial stocks tend to outperform the general stock market, because consumers and businesses quickly resume spending on items such as cars or business loans they wanted, but resisted obtaining during tougher economic times. Eventually financial stocks become overvalued, because profits and stock prices increase past their fair values. During the last stages of an economic business cycle, just before a recession, it is best to sell financial stocks, because they are likely to decrease in price. Interest rates are highest at the end of recessions to fight inflation by making money for banks more expensive. Expensive (overvalued) stocks with low Main Street Common Sense ratings should be sold at any time to invest in better stocks. Two buys ratings are the best and two sell ratings are the worst possible stock investments. For more information on stock research ratings click here.

Investment Moats


Investment Moats are fundamental investing theories developed by Warren Buffett and adapted to the SWOT analysis. Investment moats are general characteristics that separate great investments from average stock investments. The wider the investment moat the better. Read more: Investment Moats. For company-specific investment moats: SWOT Analysis.

SWOT Strengths Increase Investor Moats: Below is a list of relevant industry investment characteristics, if any exist

SWOT Weaknesses Decrease Investor Moats: Below is a list of relevant industry investment characteristics, if any exist

Bad Mortgages (Votes:0) Bad mortgage problems related to the credit market will cause continued pain for lenders.

Add…

Stock Price Triggers


Triggers were developed by WikiWealth.com to predict changes in stock price direction, which depend on events outside of the control of the company. In general, if SWOT opportunities are greater than SWOT threats, the stock price should raise; the opposite is also true. For more precise measures, examine each SWOT opportunity and threat, then rank them according to importance and timing. The more important the investment characteristic, the greater the impact on stock direction. The sooner a investment trigger may occur, the more influence it will have on stock price direction. Read more: Stock Price Triggers. For company-specific stock price triggers: SWOT Analysis.

SWOT Opportunities are Positive Stock Price Triggers: Below is a list of relevant industry investment characteristics, if any exist.

SWOT Threats are Negative Stock Price Triggers: Below is a list of relevant industry investment characteristics, if any exist.

Credit Market Crisis (Votes:1) The credit market crisis increases the cost of borrowing for financial firms. This increasing…
Mortgage Issues (Votes:0) The losses on outstanding mortgage obligations could force bankruptcy and a government…

Long Company Description (help)


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National City Corporation (NYSE: NCC), based in Cleveland, Ohio and founded in 1845, used to be one of the ten largest banks in America in terms of deposits, mortgages and home equity lines of credit. Subsidiary National City Mortgage is credited for doing the first mortgage in America. The company operates through an extensive banking network primarily in Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Wisconsin, and also serves customers in selected markets nationally. Its core businesses include commercial and retail banking, mortgage financing and servicing, consumer finance, and asset management. The bank reaches out to customers primarily through mass advertising and offers comprehensive banking services online.

As of 2007, National City Corp. ranked number 188 on the Fortune 500 list, and 9th in terms of revenue in the commercial banks industry with total assets of about $140 billion and a market cap of $24.542.1 billion. Shareholders earn 21 cents a share due to recent dividend cuts, down from 41 cents per share, or a drop of 49 percent.

History

National City Bank was founded on 17 May 1845, when a group of Cleveland businessmen pooled $50,000 to organize the City Bank of Cleveland, the first bank opened under the Ohio Bank Act of 1845 in a small town with no gas, electricity, public waterworks, or railroad. Reuben Sheldon and Theodoric C. Severance, formerly of the Fireman's Insurance Company, organized The City Bank of Cleveland. The city's only bank at the time, opened its doors to the public at No. 52 Superior Street.

  • 1845: Reuben Sheldon and Theodoric C. Severance, formerly of the Fireman's Insurance Company, organize The City Bank of Cleveland.
  • 1865: City Bank of Cleveland becomes National City Bank of Cleveland, receiving a national charter that includes the right to print federal money. This responsibility lasts until the 20th century, when the Federal Reserve assumes the function of printing all U.S. currency.
  • 1881: National City Bank records more than $1 million in assets.
  • 1901: National City Bank passes $2 million in assets.
  • 1912-1913: National City Bank's assets rise from $2.5 million to $4.5 million.
  • 1914-1918: National City Bank purchases $100 million in U.S. Bonds to help finance World War I and sees its own assets increase to $15.5 million.
  • 1929: National City Bank accumulates $40 million in assets.
  • 1933: National City Bank is the only bank in Cleveland giving 100 cents on the dollar to its depositors, while for several weeks most other banks are providing only five cents on the dollar.[citation needed] When many other banks are forced to shut down permanently following FDR's banking moratorium, National City Bank is deemed to be solid, and is permitted to resume full operations.
  • 1945: Nearing $500 million in assets, National City Bank celebrates its 100th Anniversary.
  • 1972: National City Bank's assets pass $2 billion.
  • 1973: A new holding company, National City Corporation, is created with National City Bank (its name shortened from National City Bank of Cleveland) as its lead bank and primary subsidiary.
  • 1975: National City Bank purchases the assets of the failing Northern Ohio Bank for $3.7 million.
  • 1976: National City Bank spends $3.8 million acquiring The Bank of Cleveland.
  • 1977: The First National Bank of Dayton is the corporation's first major acquisition. Two banks had merges to create the Dayton Bank in 1961: Merchant's National Bank (1871) and People's Bank & Trust Co. (1957).
  • 1978: The Huron County Banking company in Norwalk, Ohio, is acquired. The bank is renamed National City Bank, Norwalk in 1985.
  • 1980: National City Bank moves its headquarters to the newly constructed 35-story National City Center, as does its parent company, National City Corporation.
  • 1982: Ohio Citizens Bancorp in Toledo is acquired.
  • 1982: The Goodyear Bank in Akron in acquired. Founded in 1933 by the Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, it was Ohio's first company-owned bank.
  • 1982: Beginning in May, National City Bank becomes one of two Cleveland banks to link its Visa and MasterCard credit card interest rates to the cost of money, changing interest fees every six months according to the fluctuations of Treasury Bill Rates.
  • 1982: National City Bank reports a resumption of growth in annual earnings.
  • 1984: National City Corporation acquires BanOhio Corporation of Columbus to create the state's largest bank holding company. Together their assets total $12.5 billion, with a banking network encompassing 350 branches in 52 of the state's 88 counties.
  • 1986: National City Bank acquires 14 area offices and $460 million in deposits of the Broadview Savings and Loan Company.
  • 1988: National City Corporation expands into the Kentucky market by acquiring First Kentucky National Corporation of Louisville. Member banks of First Kentucky include First National bank of Louisville (1863); American National Bank & Trust Company, Bowling Green (1886); Crestwood State Bank (1896); Central Bank and Trust Company, Owensboro (1890); third National Bank of Ashland (1916); and First National Bank of Indiana, New Albany (1904). The largest, Commerce National in Lexington, resulted from a merger of Bank of Commerce (1911) and Second National Bank (1883).
  • 1989: National City Mortgage Company acquires Shawmut Mortgage Company in Miamisburg, Ohio.
  • 1990: National City corporation establishes National City Investment Corporation, allowing the corporation to offer investment choices equal to that of a full-service brokerage.
  • 1990: Gem Savings Association, a $1.6 billion asset savings and loan company with 25 branches in Dayton and Cincinnati, is acquired.
  • 1991: In October, National City Corporation announces it has reached an agreement with Merchants National Corporation to acquire the Indianapolis-based holding company. Member banks of Merchants National consist of: Anderson Banking Company (1890); Batesville State Bank (1889); Central National Bank of Greencastle (1883); Citizens National Bank of Tipton (1904); Elston Bank & Trust Company (1853); Farmers National Bank of Shelbyville (1886); Fayette Bank and Trust Company (1902); First National Bank of East Chicago (1909); First National Bank of Indiana, Logansport (1931); Hancock Bank & Trust Company, Greenfield (1874); Madison Bank & Trust Company (1833); Mid State Bank, Zionsville (1882); Mid State Bank of Hendricks County, Dansville (1904); The National Bank of Greenwood (1934); The Seymour National Bank (1891); and Union State Bank, Carmel (1923).
  • 1993: National City acquires Ohio Bancorp, Youngstown. Its member banks are: The Dollar Savings and Trust Company, Youngstown (1887); The Potters Bank and Trust Company, East Liverpool (1881); Peoples Banking Company, Martins Ferry (1891); Bank 2000, Minerva (1915); and The Miners and Mechanics Savings and Trust Company, Steubenville (1913).
  • 1995: Central Indiana Bancorp, Kokomo and United Bancorp of Lexington, Kentucky are acquired.
  • 1995: National City celebrates its 150th Anniversary with $32 billion in assets, 640 branches and 20,000 employees.
  • 1997: National City merges with First of America creating the 13th largest banking organization in the U.S. at that time in terms of total assets. First of America is a $22 billion asset bank holding company headquartered in Kalamazoo, Michigan. The combined company had assets of $74.4 billion, deposits of $48.4 billion and stockholders' equity of $6.1 billion.
  • 1997: National City purchases certain assets of the mortgage loan origination businesses owned by First National Mortgage Corporation and Eastern Mortgage Services, Inc, and American Mortgage Source, Inc.
  • 1998: National City acquires Fort Wayne National Corporation with assets of $3.3 billion.
  • 1999: National City closes on acquisition of First Franklin Financial Companies.
  • 2004: National City completes $2.1 billion purchase of Cincinnati-based Provident Financial Group.
  • 2004: National City acquired Wayne Bancorp, a bank holding company headquartered in Wooster, Ohio which operated 26 branches and had $825 million in assets.
  • 2005: National City acquired Allegiant Bancorp to enter the St. Louis market, adding 36 branch locations to National City's network of 1,100 retail offices located throughout the midwest.
  • 2006: National City sells First Franklin group to Merrill Lynch & Co. $1.3 billion.
  • 2006: National City acquires Fidelity Bankshares. Headquartered in West Palm Beach, Fidelity had $4.2 billion in total assets and operated 52 branches. *2006: National City acquires Harbor Florida Bancshares, the holding company for Harbor Federal Savings Bank. Harbor Florida is the fifth-largest publicly traded banking institution based in Florida. Headquartered in Fort Pierce, Harbor Florida has total assets of $3.2 billion and 40 branches.
  • 2007: National City acquires MAF Bancorp, Inc., the holding company for MidAmerica Bank, which operates 82 branches throughout Chicago and Milwaukee and surrounding areas. MidAmerica is the 11th largest banking institution in the Chicago market with $5.7 billion in deposits and 58 branches and the fifth largest in Milwaukee with $1.3 billion in deposits and 24 branches.
  • 2007: Peter Raskind succeeds David A. Daberko as President and CEO of the company, after Daberko was criticized for his disasterous expansion into subprime mortgages, ill-timed bank acquisitions and share buy backs, and most embarrassing, his penchant for wasting shareholder money on corporate jets and greens fees.
  • 2007: National City announces that their Wholesale Mortgage Division will cease operations effective December 31, 2007 in the face of record foreclosures. Employees were notified via email and conference call from Buck Bibb, head of National City Mortgage.
  • 2008: National City Corp. disclosed in a regulatory filing that it is the subject of an "informal" Securities and Exchange Commission investigation related to matters including loan underwriting, bank regulatory matters, and the $1.3 billion sale of a subprime subsidiary, First Franklin Financial Corporation, to Merrill Lynch & Co. for $1.3 Billion in 2006.

Recent transactions

National City has been on an acquisition spree of late, including its $2.1 billion purchase of Cincinnati-based Provident Financial Group in 2004. In addition, in 2005, National City acquired Allegiant Bancorp to secure a presence in the St. Louis, MO market. In 2006, they acquired Fidelity Bankshares Inc. for an estimated $1 billion dollar deal that is half cash, half stock. Also acquiring Harbor Florida Bancshares Inc. through a $1.1 billion stock deal, both banks are located in Florida. Combined it gives National City $7.4 billion of assets in Florida. It also gives National City 94 branches in a market that is growing quickly. On the other side of the ledger, National City sold to Bank of America its 83% stake in National Processing Company, which earns fees from processing merchant credit card transactions. The sale of San Jose, California based First Franklin origination franchise and related servicing platform to Merrill Lynch & Co. was completed on 30 December 2006 for $1.3 billion. In May 2007, National City announced the purchase of MAF Bancorp Inc., the holding company for MidAmerica Bank. As of 30 June 2006, MidAmerica Bank had the 9th-ranked market share in the Chicago-Naperville-Joliet Metropolitan Statistical Area at 2.18%. Following the merger using the same dataset, the combined National City and MidAmerica Banks will rank 4th in the market with a market share of 3.96% and deposits of more than $10 billion.

Now there is speculation in the Wall Street Journal that National City Bank with help from Goldman Sachs are shopping the bank for purchase. The rough housing market has led to NCB into dark waters filled with many failing mortgages. This paired with poor economies in the core areas of National City Bank's retail location have severely hurt the company. Stocks have dropped from a 52 week high of over $38.00 per share down to just over $12.00 at the close of the day Friday once the news had hit the market that NCB may be sold. As of July 15th, the stock was trading at roughly $3 per share. According to Reuters, London banking giant HSBC has been identified as a potential buyer.

On April 20, 2008, Corsair Partners bought a stake in National City Bank. National City Bank will remain a Cleveland based bank with many employees not being laid-off. Corsair now effectively controls National City but agreed to let Peter Raskind keep his job. Raskind received criticism from shareholders for self dealing. It is beleived that National City shareholders would have been better off had Raskind sold National City to Fifth Third. The reason Raskind accepted the lower offer from Corsair, was that they agreed to let him to keep his job.

SWOT Analysis


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Strength (helpful to business - internal origin)

Weakness (harmful to business / internal origin)

Bad Mortgages (Votes:0) Bad mortgage problems related to the credit…

Opportunity(helpful to business - external origin)

Threat (harmful to business - external origin)

Credit Market Crisis (Votes:1) The credit market crisis increases the cost…

Financial News Summary

Business digest 1246773708|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

FACTBOX-Banks, funds, insurers cut 384,661 jobs in crisis 1245860020|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

FACTBOX-Banks, funds, insurers cut 383,661 jobs in crisis 1245163582|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

First Niagara Names Western Pennsylvania Regional President 1244811722|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

Bank's chairman recounts crisis atmosphere before sale 1244597678|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

FACTBOX-Banks, funds, insurers cut 382,880 jobs in crisis 1244211794|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

PNC Financial CEO tells of past passes at National City 1242327317|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

PNC expects to convert National City branches by Q4 2009 1241036932|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z|agohover

page_revision: 33, last_edited: 1239384167|%e %b %Y, %H:%M %Z (%O ago)
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