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Germany Export Partners
Positive for Investment Growth (SWOT)
Negative for Investment Growth (SWOT)
Industry & Commodity Exports
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When local governments provide a favorable economic environment, the demand and value of their currencies will also increase. WikiWealth's Fundamental Currency Analysis is a combination of four different valuation methods: investment flows, purchase price parity, interest rate parity, and inflation rate parity (see Fundamental Currency Analysis). WikiWealth, and website visitors, examine the conditions for companies to prosper through the "Investor Survey." Countries with strong fundamental freedom, transparency, stability, strengths & opportunities (see Main Street Analysis), will aid the long term potential of companies. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean a country's currency has high potential to increase in value.
Germany Summary
Germany Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Germany (EUR) is the largest economy in Europe and relies on a strong and sophisticated industrial base to drive their exports. Currency: Germany is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity. Investor Survey: Germany’s economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom, economic diversity, and government transparency. Trade: The UK, France, and USA are the top export partners, while the leading export industry is industrial goods. Commodity: Germany imports many commodities to feed its industrial base: crude oil, coal, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and natural gas. SWOT Analysis: The leading German strength is their engineering expertise, while the main weakness is their declining birth rate. Trading Strategy: An overvalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a slightly positive outlook for German investments.
Investment Impacts (help)
European Union Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The European Union (EUR) is a single market and currency group of countries, which creates one of the largest and most diverse markets in the world. Currency: The EUR is fairly valued versus other major global currencies. They have a positive investment flow and negative purchase price parity. Investor Survey: the economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to favorable scores on government transparency and SWOT opportunities. Trade: Belgium, Hungary, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Norway and Japan are the top trading partners. Commodity: The EU does not produce many commodities, but they import many energy-related commodities from Russia and the Middle East. SWOT Analysis: The leading EU strength is their single currency and internal market, while the main weaknesses include a declining birth rate, labor restrictions and language barriers. New energy proposals have the opportunity to propel growth; there were no major threats to report. Trading Strategy: A moderately-valued currency, high investment flow potential, but low purchase price potential and negative SWOT weaknesses lead to a slightly negative outlook for EU investments.
The European Union is very important for the exports produced in Germany. If the EU slows in growth, Germany will also slow down in growth.
Industrial Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The industrial industry includes companies whose sales originate from the manufacturing of materials into finished goods and services. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, with slightly positive potential. The Main Street analysis says a Hold with SWOT strengths much great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities less than threats. Trade: The following countries derive much of their income from the industrial sector of the economy: Brazil, Venezuela, USA, Belgium, the EU, Germany, France, China, Hong Kong and Japan. Main industrial commodities include the following: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, palladium, silicon, steel, tin, and zinc. Trading Strategy: The industrial industry tends to be sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued industrial investments during economic recessions when stock prices are low and sell industrial investments during the late stages of a bull markets when stock prices are high. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, it is the perfect time to purchase industrial investments. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.
- Germany is a very export driven, industrial country.
Major Germany Trade Partners ► Press "Edit / Improve"
European Union Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The European Union (EUR) is a single market and currency group of countries, which creates one of the largest and most diverse markets in the world. Currency: The EUR is fairly valued versus other major global currencies. They have a positive investment flow and negative purchase price parity. Investor Survey: the economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to favorable scores on government transparency and SWOT opportunities. Trade: Belgium, Hungary, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Norway and Japan are the top trading partners. Commodity: The EU does not produce many commodities, but they import many energy-related commodities from Russia and the Middle East. SWOT Analysis: The leading EU strength is their single currency and internal market, while the main weaknesses include a declining birth rate, labor restrictions and language barriers. New energy proposals have the opportunity to propel growth; there were no major threats to report. Trading Strategy: A moderately-valued currency, high investment flow potential, but low purchase price potential and negative SWOT weaknesses lead to a slightly negative outlook for EU investments.
USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.
France Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) France (EUR) has a capitalist economy with significant government intervention. Currency: France is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity. Investor Survey: France’s the economic environment is moderate for long term economic growth due to high scores on government transparency, but low scores on economic diversity. Trade: Finland, Belgium, the UK, Germany, and Italy are the top export partners, while a significant import is uranium. Commodity: Uranium powers France’s nuclear energy industry. SWOT Analysis: The leading French strength is their nuclear energy experience, while the main weakness is a declining birth rate. Trading Strategy: An overvalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and moderate business environment lead to a slightly negative outlook for French investments.
UK Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The UK (GBP) has a highly productive, capitalist economy with a strong financial services industry. Currency: The British Pound is slightly overvalued on a global basis. The purchase price parity indicates that the British Pound should fall in value over time. Investor Survey: The UK’s economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom, government transparency, and economic diversity. Trade: Belgium, India, the EU, Netherlands, and France are the top export partners, while the leading industry is financial services. Commodity: The UK produces a significant amount of natural gas and imports of cocoa for domestic consumption. SWOT Analysis: The leading UK strength is the London Stock Exchange, which aids the financial services industry. The main weaknesses include high consumer and fiscal deficits. Trading Strategy: An overvalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and very favorable business environment leads to a neutral outlook for UK investments.
Italy Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Italy (EUR) has a slowly developing capitalist economy with an industrial northern territory and an agricultural southern territory. Currency: Italy is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity. Italian investment flow potential greatly improves their economic situation. Investor Survey: Italy’s economic environment is neutral for long term economic growth according to the investor survey. Trade: The UK, France, Germany and USA are the top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial goods manufacturing. Commodity: Italy produces a significant amount of textiles for use at home and as an export. SWOT Analysis: The leading Italian strength is tourism, while the main weakness is a declining birth rate. Unemployment and poverty are two important threats that may lower long term economic growth. Trading Strategy: High investment flow potential and moderate a business environment lead to a slightly positive outlook for Italian investments.
Major Germany Production ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Major Germany Consumption ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Crude Oil Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Crude oil is used to produce fuel oil and gasoline. Gasoline is the largest supplier of fuel for internal combustion engines. Commodity: Crude oil is rated a Sell. Crude oil demanders have a moderate potential to increase in value and crude oil suppliers have a very high potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Crude oil’s long term growth potential is very favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes, demand not sensitive to price changes, and the SWOT analysis. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Limited natural resource / supply; Weakness: Emits carbon dioxide. Opportunity to grow: the overall growth of vehicles will increase demand for crude oil; Threats to growth: environmental concerns could slow growth potential in the near term. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis sell rating indicates that crude oil prices should decrease over the short term, whereas a very favorable investor survey means crude oil prices increase over the long term.
Coffee Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Coffee is a brewed beverage derived from the coffee plant beans. It is one of the most popular drinks in the world. Commodity: Coffee is rated a Buy. Coffee demanders have an average potential to increase in value, while coffee suppliers have low potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Coffee’s long term growth potential is average due to high scores on SWOT opportunities, but low scores on lack of good substitute commodities. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Coffee is one of the most popular beverages in the world; Weakness: the cost of producing coffee increased. Opportunity to grow: coffee’s widespread use could aid growth as the world’s population increases; Threats to growth: plant disease may compete against coffee. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis buy rating indicates that coffee should increase in price over the short term, whereas an average investor survey means coffee may stay the same in price over the long term.
Natural Gas Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Natural gas is a significant fuel source used to produce electricity in the world. It primarily consists of methane gas. Commodity: Natural is rated a hold. Natural gas demanders have a high potential to increase in value, while natural gas suppliers also have high potential in increase in value. Investor Survey: Natural gas’s long term growth potential is favorable due to high scores on difficulty to expand in the short term and sensitivity to price changes. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Natural gas is a cheap fuel source, especially in the US; Weakness: natural gas produces considerable pollution. Opportunity to grow: natural gas could produce hydrogen fuel, which is a substitute for gas in cars; Threats to growth: alternative forms of clean energy may compete with natural gas. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that natural gas should stay the same price over the short term, whereas a moderately favorable investor survey means natural gas should increase in price over the long term.
Aluminum Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Aluminum is one of the most widely used metals and global production is second only to iron. Commodity: Aluminum is rated a Hold. Aluminum demanders and suppliers have potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Aluminum’s long term growth potential is moderately favorable due to high scores on the SWOT analysis. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Aluminum has a vast number of uses, which help it to maintain long term demand. Opportunity to grow: Aluminum is completely recyclable, which will help as consumers become more environmentally active; Threats to growth: Other materials with similar properties like carbon fiber could be a significant threat to aluminum. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that aluminum should stay about the same over the short term, whereas a moderately favorable investor survey means aluminum may increase in price over the long term.
Tin Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Tin is most often used as a corrosion protective coating for other metals. Commodity Analysis: Tin is rated a Hold. WikiWealth did not have a robust enough sample of demanders to gauge potential. Tin suppliers have average potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Tin’s long term growth potential is moderately unfavorable due to low scores on difficulty to expand supply and substitute products. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Tin has moderate health benefits. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that tin should stay the same price over the short term, whereas a moderately unfavorable investor survey means tin may decrease in price over the long term.
Lead Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Lead has a variety of uses, from building construction to bullets. Commodity: Lead is rated a Buy. Lead demanders have average potential to increase in value, while lead suppliers have very low potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Lead’s long term growth potential is low due to low scores on lack of good substitutes and SWOT threats. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Lead has a limited supply; Weakness: lead poisoning is a significant threat to the use of lead. Threats to growth: lead is difficult to dispose of and it is harmful to the environment. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis buy rating indicates that lead should increase in price over the short term, whereas a very low investor survey means lead should decrease in price over the long term.
Important Germany Industries ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Industrial Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The industrial industry includes companies whose sales originate from the manufacturing of materials into finished goods and services. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, with slightly positive potential. The Main Street analysis says a Hold with SWOT strengths much great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities less than threats. Trade: The following countries derive much of their income from the industrial sector of the economy: Brazil, Venezuela, USA, Belgium, the EU, Germany, France, China, Hong Kong and Japan. Main industrial commodities include the following: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, palladium, silicon, steel, tin, and zinc. Trading Strategy: The industrial industry tends to be sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued industrial investments during economic recessions when stock prices are low and sell industrial investments during the late stages of a bull markets when stock prices are high. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, it is the perfect time to purchase industrial investments. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.
Discretionary Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The consumer discretionary industry includes companies whose sales come from consumer discretionary income purchases. Discretionary income = gross income less taxes and necessities such as rent, mortgage and food. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold. The Main Street analysis says a Buy, with SWOT strengths great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities greater than threats. Trade: Some of the main trade hubs include China, Mexico, Germany and Japan, while the main discretionary commodities include gold, silver, platinum and diamonds. Trading Strategy: The consumer discretionary industry tends to be very sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued discretionary investments during economic recessions when stock prices are low and sell discretionary investments during the late stages of a bull markets when stock prices are high. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, it is the perfect time to purchase consumer discretionary investments. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.
Source: http://internationaltrade.suite101.com/article.cfm/germany_s_trade_buddies
