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China Export Partners
Positive for Investment Growth (SWOT)
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Industry & Commodity Exports
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When local governments provide a favorable economic environment, the demand and value of their currencies will also increase. WikiWealth's Fundamental Currency Analysis is a combination of four different valuation methods: investment flows, purchase price parity, interest rate parity, and inflation rate parity (see Fundamental Currency Analysis). WikiWealth, and website visitors, examine the conditions for companies to prosper through the "Investor Survey." Countries with strong fundamental freedom, transparency, stability, strengths & opportunities (see Main Street Analysis), will aid the long term potential of companies. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean a country's currency has high potential to increase in value.
China Summary
China Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) China (CNY) is a fast growing communist country with the largest population in the world. Currency: China’s currency is moderately undervalued. Purchase price parity shows that China’s currency is approximately 40% undervalued, however, the other three valuation approaches show that China is fairly valued. Investor Survey: China’s economic environment is very unfavorable for long term economic growth due to the lack of economic freedom, government transparency, and the SWOT analysis. Trade: Indonesia, Pakistan, Norway, Singapore, Europe, the US are the top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial goods, usually for export. Commodity: China produces a significant amount of coal for use at home. The use of coal to provide energy leads to other health related problems. SWOT Analysis: The leading Chinese strength is their cheap labor, while the main weaknesses are political risk and corruption. Renewable energy has the opportunity to propel growth, while general pollution and an aging population could slow growth rates. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, average investment flow potential and an unfavorable business environment leads to a neutral outlook for Chinese investments.
Investment Impacts (help)
Industrial Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The industrial industry includes companies whose sales originate from the manufacturing of materials into finished goods and services. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, with slightly positive potential. The Main Street analysis says a Hold with SWOT strengths much great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities less than threats. Trade: The following countries derive much of their income from the industrial sector of the economy: Brazil, Venezuela, USA, Belgium, the EU, Germany, France, China, Hong Kong and Japan. Main industrial commodities include the following: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, palladium, silicon, steel, tin, and zinc. Trading Strategy: The industrial industry tends to be sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued industrial investments during economic recessions when stock prices are low and sell industrial investments during the late stages of a bull markets when stock prices are high. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, it is the perfect time to purchase industrial investments. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.
China is known as the world's workshop. Numerous items are manufactured in China and distributed around the world. This also makes China very dependent on growth in export countries.
USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.
China buys the debt of the United States and sells the US manufactured goods. This relationship binds the two countries together in a trade partnership.
Major China Trade Partners ► Press "Edit / Improve"
USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.
Hong Kong Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Hong Kong (HKD) has a highly productive, capitalist economy that relies on its trade network and proximity to China. Currency: The Hong Kong dollar is fairly valued with low investment flows and high potential according to the purchase price parity. Investor Survey: Hong Kong’s economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom, government transparency, economic diversity, and the SWOT analysis. Trade: Indonesia, China, Singapore, Korea, and the USA are the top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial goods. Commodity: Hong Kong specializes in the trade of goods. SWOT Analysis: The leading HK strength is their status as a gateway to china, while the main weakness is their lack of arable land. Liquefied natural gas has the opportunity to propel growth, while the risk of a pandemic may lower growth. Trading Strategy: A moderately priced currency, low investment flow potential, but very favorable business environment leads to a positive outlook for Hong Kong investments.
Japan Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Japan (JPY), the second largest economy in the world, has an industrial, export oriented economy that benefits from its relationship with the USA and proximity to China. Currency: Japan’s currency (the Yen) is overvalued according to investment flow potential, the purchase price parity, and the interest rate parity. Investor Survey: Japan’s economic environment is moderately favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and government transparency, but low scores on the SWOT Analysis. Trade: Indonesia, China, Singapore, the EU, Korea, and the US are Japan’s top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial manufacturing. Commodity: Japan imports many products because of its lack of arable land and energy resources. SWOT Analysis: The leading Japanese strength is their education system, while the main weakness is a declining birth rate. A major Japanese threat is the continuation of zombie companies. Trading Strategy: An overvalued currency, low investment flow potential and moderate business environment leads to a negative outlook for Japanese investments.
Korea Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Korea (KRW) has a fast growing Asian country with a market-based economy. Currency: Korea’s currency is undervalued as a result of the purchase price parity analysis. Investor Survey: Korea’s economic environment is moderate, because high scores on economic freedom are offset by low scores on the SWOT analysis. Trade: Indonesia, China, Singapore, Japan, Hong Kong are the top export partners, while Korea’s emerging industry relates to technology. SWOT Analysis: The leading Korean strength is their shipbuilding expertise, while the main weakness is their bank cross holdings. North Korea is their main threat to long term economic growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and moderate business environment leads to a slightly positive outlook for Korean investments.
Germany Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Germany (EUR) is the largest economy in Europe and relies on a strong and sophisticated industrial base to drive their exports. Currency: Germany is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity. Investor Survey: Germany’s economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom, economic diversity, and government transparency. Trade: The UK, France, and USA are the top export partners, while the leading export industry is industrial goods. Commodity: Germany imports many commodities to feed its industrial base: crude oil, coal, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and natural gas. SWOT Analysis: The leading German strength is their engineering expertise, while the main weakness is their declining birth rate. Trading Strategy: An overvalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a slightly positive outlook for German investments.
Major China Production ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Coal Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Coal is the largest source of fuel used to produce electricity in the world. Coal is also one of the largest sources of carbon dioxide emissions. Commodity: Coal is rated a Buy. Coal demanders have a high potential to grow, while coal suppliers have low potential in increase. Investor Survey: Coal’s long term growth potential is moderately favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes and low sources in short supply and substitute products. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Coal is the largest source of energy worldwide; Weakness: coal produces considerable pollution. Opportunity to grow: coal’s widespread use could aid growth as the world economy grows; Threats to growth: alternative forms of clean energy may compete against coal. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis buy rating indicates that coal should increase in price over the short term, whereas a moderately favorable investor survey means coal may not increase in price over the long term.
Major China Consumption ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Crude Oil Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Crude oil is used to produce fuel oil and gasoline. Gasoline is the largest supplier of fuel for internal combustion engines. Commodity: Crude oil is rated a Sell. Crude oil demanders have a moderate potential to increase in value and crude oil suppliers have a very high potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Crude oil’s long term growth potential is very favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes, demand not sensitive to price changes, and the SWOT analysis. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Limited natural resource / supply; Weakness: Emits carbon dioxide. Opportunity to grow: the overall growth of vehicles will increase demand for crude oil; Threats to growth: environmental concerns could slow growth potential in the near term. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis sell rating indicates that crude oil prices should decrease over the short term, whereas a very favorable investor survey means crude oil prices increase over the long term.
Gold Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Gold is a widely used metal in the jewelry industry. Commodity: Gold is rated a Hold, because gold demanders and suppliers have a low potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Gold’s long term growth potential is moderately favorable due to high scores on difficulty to expand in the short term and many SWOT analysis strengths. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Gold has a large, diverse growth market; Weakness: If the cost of gold is too high, then consumers might substitute other metals for gold. Opportunity to grow: gold acts as an inflation hedge investment. Threat: volatile prices may decrease the popularity of gold. Trading Strategy: commodity analyses hold rating indicates that gold should stay the same price over the short term. A moderately favorable investor survey means gold may increase in price over the long term.
Ethanol Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Ethanol is used as a fuel for motor vehicles. The largest ethanol producer in the world is Brazil. Commodity: Ethanol is rated a Hold. This is not enough data to indicator ethanol demand, whereas ethanol suppliers have a moderate potential in increase. Investor Survey: Ethanol’s long term growth potential is moderately favorable due to high scores on the SWOT analysis, but low sources in lack of good substitutes. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Ethanol is a renewable fuel; Weakness: ethanol has a high production cost. Opportunity to grow: ethanol could benefit as cellulose plants improve in the future; Threats to growth: a decline in crude oil prices could decrease demand for ethanol. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that ethanol’s price should stay the same over the short term, whereas an average investor survey means ethanol may stay the same in price over the long term.
Water Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Water is the liquid form of the most important substance on earth. Water covers seventy percent of the world’s surface; 97% of which is saltwater. Commodity Analysis: Water is rated a hold. Water demanders and suppliers have a moderate potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Water’s long term growth potential is very favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes and substitute products. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Water is the most precious substance on earth; without it, life could not exist; Opportunity to grow: the demand for water will increase as the world’s population increases; Threats to growth: contamination and pollution could limit the supply of water. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that water should stay the same price over the short term, whereas a very favorable investor survey means water will increase in price over the long term.
Copper Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Copper is a widely used decorative and anti-bacterial compound. Copper is also a good conductor of heat and electricity. Commodity: Copper is rated a Hold. Both copper demanders and suppliers have potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Copper’s long term growth potential is very favorable due to high scores on difficulty to expand short term supply, sensitivity to price changes and the SWOT analysis. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Copper has a limited supply and a wide array of uses. Opportunity to grow: Copper’s self cleaning properties have the potential to increase growth in the future; Threats to growth: Copper’s diminishing supply could hurt growth as substitutes become more appealing. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that copper should stay roughly the same over the short term, whereas a very favorable investor survey means copper may increase in price over the long term.
Cotton Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Cotton is a the fiber grown to make yarn, thread and a textile called “cotton” that is the most widely used natural fiber cloth in the world. Commodity: Cotton is rated a Hold. Cotton demanders and suppliers have low potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Cotton’s long term growth potential is moderately unfavorable due to low scores on short supply and substitute products. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Cotton has the ability to merge with similar materials. Opportunity to grow: cotton’s widespread use could aid growth as the world economy grows; Threats to growth: plant bugs and stinkbugs could destroy cotton crops. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that cotton should stay the same price over the short term, whereas a moderately unfavorable investor survey means cotton may decrease in price over the long term.
Important China Industries ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Industrial Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The industrial industry includes companies whose sales originate from the manufacturing of materials into finished goods and services. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, with slightly positive potential. The Main Street analysis says a Hold with SWOT strengths much great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities less than threats. Trade: The following countries derive much of their income from the industrial sector of the economy: Brazil, Venezuela, USA, Belgium, the EU, Germany, France, China, Hong Kong and Japan. Main industrial commodities include the following: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, palladium, silicon, steel, tin, and zinc. Trading Strategy: The industrial industry tends to be sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued industrial investments during economic recessions when stock prices are low and sell industrial investments during the late stages of a bull markets when stock prices are high. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, it is the perfect time to purchase industrial investments. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.
Source: http://internationaltrade.suite101.com/article.cfm/chinas_top_trading_partners
