Oil (WTI Crude) Commodity Analysis
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Long Term Investing Potential

Investor Survey (help)

Difficult to Expand Short Term Supply?
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Demand Not Sensitive to Price Changes?
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Lack of Good Substitute Commodities?
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SWOT Strengths > SWOT Weaknesses?
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SWOT Opportunities > SWOT Threats?

Survey Resources (help)

Agriculture Statistics
Commodity Statistics
Exchange - CME Group
Exchange - New York Mercantile Exchange
Exchange - ICE Exchange

Crude Oil ETF Funds

Oil Service ETF Fund US Listed (OIH)
US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (IEO)
US Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ)
DB Oil Fund ETF Fund (DBO)
Oil Services US Listed ETF (PXJ)
Short Oil & Gas US Listed ETF (DDG)
Crude Oil ETF Fund (UCO)
US Ultra Oil & Gas (DIG)
UltraShort Crude Oil (SCO)
UltraShort Oil & Gas US Listed (DUG)
S&P Oil & Gas Equip & Service ETF (XES)
S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product ETF (XOP)
US 12 Month Oil (USL)
US Heating Oil ETF Fund (UHN)
US Oil ETF Fund (USO)

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Value Investing Blog

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Crude Oil Substitutes

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Crude Oil Highlights

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Research Report (comments)

Commodity prices change when there are unexpected changes to supply and demand of the target commodity. WikiWealth tries to predict these unexpected changes by examining the companies, which supply and demand the commodity (See Fundamental Commodity Analysis). When demand potential is greater then supply potential, then prices will increase; the opposite is also true. WikiWealth's Main Street Analysis captures - along with user help - the impact of supply and demand changes by analyzing the commodity's importance. In general, the more important the commodity, the faster the price will increase when commodity demand increases. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean the commodity has high potential to increase in value.

Crude Oil Summary

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Crude Oil Commodity Analysis (edit / improve) Crude oil is used to produce fuel oil and gasoline. Gasoline is the largest supplier of fuel for internal combustion engines. Commodity: Crude oil is rated a Sell. Crude oil demanders have a moderate potential to increase in value and crude oil suppliers have a very high potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Crude oil’s long term growth potential is very favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes, demand not sensitive to price changes, and the SWOT analysis. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Limited natural resource / supply; Weakness: Emits carbon dioxide. Opportunity to grow: the overall growth of vehicles will increase demand for crude oil; Threats to growth: environmental concerns could slow growth potential in the near term. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis sell rating indicates that crude oil prices should decrease over the short term, whereas a very favorable investor survey means crude oil prices increase over the long term.

Investment Impacts (help)

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Saudi Arabia Country Analysis (edit / improve) Saudi Arabia (SAR) is an energy export driven economy in the Middle East. Currency: Saudi Arabia’s currency is correctly valued with low investment flow potential and high purchase price potential. Investor Survey: Saudi Arabia’s economic environment is unfavorable for long term economic growth due to low scores on government transparency and economic diversity. Trade: China, the EU, Japan, and the US are the top export partners, while the leading industry is related to energy. Commodity: Saudi Arabia produces a significant amount of crude oil, gasoline, and propane for use as an export. Saudi Arabia is also part of the OPEC cartel, which adjusts the supply of oil to maintain price. SWOT Analysis: The leading Saudi strength is their large oil supply, while the main weakness is their discriminatory problems. Economic cities have the opportunity to propel growth, while terrorism may lower growth. Trading Strategy: A moderately-priced currency, low investment flow potential and unfavorable business environment leads to a negative outlook for Saudi investments.

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Russia Country Analysis (edit / improve) Russia (RUB) is a resource rich, centralized economy with a large land mass and population. Currency: Russia’s currency is significantly undervalued according to the investment flow analysis, purchase price parity, and interest rate parity. Investor Survey: Russia’s economic environment is very unfavorable. Russia’s economic freedom, government transparency and SWOT analysis scores are very low. Trade: China, and Turkey are Russia’s top export partners, while the leading industry is energy. Commodity: Russia produces a significant amount of natural gas, coal, copper, uranium, palladium, and crude oil. Russia exports many energy products to European Union members. SWOT Analysis: The leading Russian strength is their oil and gas industry, while the main weakness is political risk. Proximity to energy hungry Europe has the opportunity to propel growth, while falling oil prices may lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential, but unfavorable business environment leads to a neutral outlook for Russian investments.

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USA Country Analysis (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

Industry Investment Impact

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Energy Industry Analysis (edit / improve) The energy industry includes companies whose sales derive from the production and sale of energy related products and services such as the extraction, manufacturing, refining, and distribution of energy. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Buy, with strong potential for short term gains. The Main Street analysis says a Hold, with SWOT strengths great than weaknesses, but SWOT opportunities less than threats. Significant threats include the curtailment of energy use for environmental reasons. Trade: Some of the main energy hubs include Saudi Arabia, Canada, Mexico, and Russia while the main energy commodities include coal, ethanol, gasoline, natural gas, crude oil, heating oil, palm oil, propane, and uranium. Trading Strategy: Energy investments tend to be very sensitive to commodity prices. Speculation and market manipulation by governments affect the energy market, therefore, cautiously invest in companies with significant potential. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.

- The energy industry requires many different fuel sources. Those sources help to power anything from small furnaces to large nuclear reactors.

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Utility Industry Analysis (edit / improve) The utility industry includes companies whose sales come from the administration of public services such as water and power. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, but with positive potential. The Main Street analysis says a Buy, with SWOT strengths great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities greater than threats. Trade: Denmark is a major area of utility innovation, especially for the generation of power. Main utility commodities include coal, natural gas, crude oil, and uranium. Trading Strategy: The utility industry tends to be less sensitive to economic cycles, because public services are essential to industrial and residential consumers. Look to buy undervalued utility investments when stock prices are low and sell overvalued utility investments during any part of the business cycle when stock prices are high. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.

- Crude oil is a major fuel source for many power planets. Crude oil is volatile in price and comes from unstable regions of the world.