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Coffee Substitutes
Increases Coffee Price (swot)
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Coffee Highlights
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Commodity prices change when there are unexpected changes to supply and demand of the target commodity. WikiWealth tries to predict these unexpected changes by examining the companies, which supply and demand the commodity (See Fundamental Commodity Analysis). When demand potential is greater then supply potential, then prices will increase; the opposite is also true. WikiWealth's Main Street Analysis captures - along with user help - the impact of supply and demand changes by analyzing the commodity's importance. In general, the more important the commodity, the faster the price will increase when commodity demand increases. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean the commodity has high potential to increase in value.
Coffee Summary
Coffee Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Coffee is a brewed beverage derived from the coffee plant beans. It is one of the most popular drinks in the world. Commodity Analysis: Coffee is rated a Buy. Coffee demanders have an average potential to increase in value, while coffee suppliers have low potential to increase in value. Investor Survey: Coffee’s long term growth potential is average due to high scores on SWOT opportunities, but low scores on lack of good substitute commodities. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Coffee is one of the most popular beverages in the world; Weakness: the cost of producing coffee increased. Opportunity to grow: coffee’s widespread use could aid growth as the world’s population increases; Threats to growth: plant disease may compete against coffee. Profit Conclusion: The commodity analysis buy rating indicates that coffee should increase in price over the short term, whereas an average investor survey means coffee may stay the same in price over the long term.
Investment Impacts (help)
Brazil Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Brazil (BRL) is a member of the BRIC nations and has the largest economy in South America. Brazil has significant agricultural and industrial industries. Currency Analysis: the Brazilian currency has the potential to increase in value especially versus many developed market currencies. Brazil has high interest rates, low inflation and positive investment flow potential. Investor Survey: the economic environment is moderate, with low government transparency and high SWOT opportunities. Trade Analysis: China, Netherlands, Argentina and USA are the top trading partners. Brazil has significant export capabilities in agriculture and industrial products such as ethanol, sugar, oats, pork, corn, soybean and airplanes. Commodity Analysis: A favorable growth environment and car fuel demand create a significant and growing industry for Ethanol. SWOT Analysis: Ethanol is the leading US strength, while education, crime and income inequality are major weaknesses. A recent oil discovery is a major opportunity for Brazil, while the threat of HIV could slow growth and burden the health system. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and positive SWOT opportunities help Brazil, but fundamental weaknesses and government issues hold back Brazil’s potential.
USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency Analysis: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies (see investment flows analysis). Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade Analysis: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity Analysis: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the housing crisis may lower growth. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.
Importance of the Industry Analysis?
WikiWealth's industry analysis evaluates the major industry characteristics that affect investments within that industry. Company specific factors drive the performance of individual companies, but macro-economic industry factors can affect the performance of entire groups of stocks. For example, government regulation of the financial services industry affects every financial service company in different, but related ways. It is important to understand the large scale issues that affect an industry before examining the affects on every individual company.
Warren Buffett Quote: "When a management with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact."
No matter the quality of your business, industry economics is an important factor in any investment decision.
Edit / Improve Option?
WikiWealth supplies the tools to create the highest quality analysis. However, we rely on users to continuously edit and improve this analysis. More minds working on a problem generates better ideas. WikiWealth professionals happily review each edit to ensure consistency and quality. Find an area to improve, click the "improve - edit" link, make your change, then press "SAVE."
Value to Users?
A professional industry analysis can cost between $150 to $15,000. WikiWealth's industry analysis is free and open to "improve / edit." WikiWealth has a range of skills and experience to complete any industry analysis or related financial request. See our professional services for more information.
Experiment Mode?
Useful for experimenting with the analysis without permanently changing the results for others. Click above to enter the experiment mode. Change any blue text to see how your changes affect the ending value of this company: Experiment Mode. The experiment mode is free and open to manipulate by anyone. Changes are not permanent.
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WikiWealth.com Industry Description: The materials industry includes companies whose sales originate from the mining, acquisition and sale of physical substances for manufacturing-related purposes. Read More.
WikiWealth.com Profit Analysis: The best way to profit from material industry stock investments is to find the most undervalued investments (Wall Street and Main Street buy ratings) during economic recessions. Those investments should be undervalued (see Wall Street Analysis on left side), and have high Main Street Common Sense investment ratings (see Main Street Analysis on right side). When an economic recovery occurs, material industry stocks tend to outperform the general stock market, because consumers and businesses must increase their inventories quickly to meet demand for manufactured goods. Consumers and business delayed purchases on items they wanted, but resisted buying during tougher economic times. Eventually, material company investments become overvalued, because profits and stock prices increase past their fair values. During the last stages of an economic business cycle, just before a recession, it is best to sell material stocks, because they are likely to decrease in price the fastest. Expensive (overvalued) stocks with low Main Street Common Sense ratings should be sold at any time to invest in better stocks. Two buys ratings are the best and two sell ratings are the worst possible stock investments. Click for more information: stock research ratings.
Inflation Hedge: Changes in commodity prices affect material industry investments. When commodity prices are high due to increased demand or lower supply, material stocks increase, because demand for their goods also increases. Inflation occurs when the price of goods and services increases. The price of materials are generally the first inputs into the production of goods, so changes in material prices directly affect the cost of products, which is measured by inflation. Therefore, a good hedge against inflation is to own material stock investments. When inflation increases, so do the profits of material companies, which may have directly contributed to the increase in prices.
WikiWealth.com Industry Analysis: During economic recessions, consumers tend to cut back on spending to save money. Businesses tend to cut back on investments. Industrial companies make the products bought by consumers and businesses, but to make those products, industrial companies must obtain materials. Less spending on goods decreases material business revenue and eventually decreases stock prices. During economic recoveries, consumers and businesses spend quickly to replace or catch up with quickly increasing demand. Material companies quickly receive orders from industrial companies who need to manufacture new products to meet quickly increasing demand. Higher spending increases material business revenue and eventually increases stock prices. During a longer economic expansion, consumer and business demand increases for material companies, but at a slower pace than during the recovery stage.
1 WikiWealth.com only uses the largest 30 companies in each industry for the basis of these financial measures. Each statistic is the market weighted average of the 30 companies.
2 Investment potential (margin of safety) is a weighted average of the discounted cash flow analysis (DCF), the enterprise value (EV) market multiple analysis, and the Warren Buffett investment analysis. WikiWealth obtains 80% of their quantitative investment potential from fundamental investment analysis.
Major Coffee Producers ► Press "Edit / Improve"
Brazil Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Brazil (BRL) is a member of the BRIC nations and has the largest economy in South America. Brazil has significant agricultural and industrial industries. Currency Analysis: the Brazilian currency has the potential to increase in value especially versus many developed market currencies. Brazil has high interest rates, low inflation and positive investment flow potential. Investor Survey: the economic environment is moderate, with low government transparency and high SWOT opportunities. Trade Analysis: China, Netherlands, Argentina and USA are the top trading partners. Brazil has significant export capabilities in agriculture and industrial products such as ethanol, sugar, oats, pork, corn, soybean and airplanes. Commodity Analysis: A favorable growth environment and car fuel demand create a significant and growing industry for Ethanol. SWOT Analysis: Ethanol is the leading US strength, while education, crime and income inequality are major weaknesses. A recent oil discovery is a major opportunity for Brazil, while the threat of HIV could slow growth and burden the health system. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and positive SWOT opportunities help Brazil, but fundamental weaknesses and government issues hold back Brazil’s potential.
Colombia Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Colombia (COP) has an agriculture-based economy, which produces large amounts of coffee for export. Currency Analysis: the Colombian currency has moderate potential to increase in value according to the purchase price parity analysis. Investor Survey: government transparency is a major negative for Colombia and it leads to a much less favorable business environment. Trade Analysis: the US and Venezuela are Colombia’s top trading partners, while the leading export is coffee. Commodity Analysis: Colombia produces a significant amount of coffee for use at home and as an export. However, the economy and guerrilla military depend on the cultivation and export of cannabis. SWOT Analysis: The leading Colombian strength is their mineral resources, while the main weaknesses are crime and terrorism. A potential free trade policy is their main SWOT opportunity, while there are no immediate threats to report. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, low investment flow potential and unfavorable business environment lead to a negative outlook for Colombia’s investments potential.
Indonesia Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Indonesia (IDR) has a materials industry-based economy with significant governance issues. Currency Analysis: Indonesia’s currency is undervalued according to the investment flow and purchase price parity analysis. Investor Survey: Indonesia’s economic environment is very unfavorable for long term economic growth due to low scores on government transparency and the SWOT analysis. Trade Analysis: China, Singapore, Japan, Korea and the US are the top export partners, while the leading industry is materials. Commodity Analysis: Indonesia produces a significant amount of palm oil, copper, tin, nickel, rice, and rubber. SWOT Analysis: The leading Indonesian strength is their abundant resources, while the main weakness is over population. Illegal logging and piracy could hurt growth in the future. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential, but very unfavorable business environment leads to a neutral outlook for Indonesian investments.
India Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) India (INR) has a highly regulated economy; however, recent liberalization has transformed the economy towards a capitalist, market-based system. Currency Analysis: India’s currency is fairly valued with very low investment flow potential combined with very high purchase price parity potential. Investor Survey: India’s economic environment is unfavorable for long term economic growth due to low scores on economic freedom, transparency, economic diversity, and the SWOT analysis. Trade Analysis: Belgium, Pakistan, the UK, Japan, and the US are the top export partners. Commodity Analysis: India produces a significant amount of staples for domestic use and needs to import energy. SWOT Analysis: The leading Indian strength is their supply of natural resources, while the main weakness is a lack of infrastructure. Profit Conclusion: A fairly-valued currency, very low investment flow potential and an unfavorable business environment leads to a negative outlook for Indian investments.
Major Coffee Consumers ► Press "Edit / Improve"
USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency Analysis: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies (see investment flows analysis). Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade Analysis: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity Analysis: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the housing crisis may lower growth. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.
Brazil Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Brazil (BRL) is a member of the BRIC nations and has the largest economy in South America. Brazil has significant agricultural and industrial industries. Currency Analysis: the Brazilian currency has the potential to increase in value especially versus many developed market currencies. Brazil has high interest rates, low inflation and positive investment flow potential. Investor Survey: the economic environment is moderate, with low government transparency and high SWOT opportunities. Trade Analysis: China, Netherlands, Argentina and USA are the top trading partners. Brazil has significant export capabilities in agriculture and industrial products such as ethanol, sugar, oats, pork, corn, soybean and airplanes. Commodity Analysis: A favorable growth environment and car fuel demand create a significant and growing industry for Ethanol. SWOT Analysis: Ethanol is the leading US strength, while education, crime and income inequality are major weaknesses. A recent oil discovery is a major opportunity for Brazil, while the threat of HIV could slow growth and burden the health system. Profit Conclusion: An undervalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and positive SWOT opportunities help Brazil, but fundamental weaknesses and government issues hold back Brazil’s potential.
Germany Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Germany (EUR) is the largest economy in Europe and relies on a strong and sophisticated industrial base to drive their exports. Currency Analysis: Germany is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity analysis. Investor Survey: Germany’s economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom, economic diversity, and government transparency. Trade Analysis: The UK, France, and USA are the top export partners, while the leading export industry is industrial goods. Commodity Analysis: Germany imports many commodities to feed its industrial base: crude oil, coal, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and natural gas. SWOT Analysis: The leading German strength is their engineering expertise, while the main weakness is their declining birth rate. Profit Conclusion: An overvalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a slightly positive outlook for German investments.
Japan Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Japan (JPY), the second largest economy in the world, has an industrial, export oriented economy that benefits from its relationship with the USA and proximity to China. Currency Analysis: Japan’s currency (the Yen) is overvalued according to investment flow potential, the purchase price parity analysis, and the interest rate parity analysis. Investor Survey: Japan’s economic environment is moderately favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and government transparency, but low scores on the SWOT Analysis. Trade Analysis: Indonesia, China, Singapore, the EU, Korea, and the US are Japan’s top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial manufacturing. Commodity Analysis: Japan imports many products because of its lack of arable land and energy resources. SWOT Analysis: The leading Japanese strength is their education system, while the main weakness is a declining birth rate. A major Japanese threat is the continuation of zombie companies. Profit Conclusion: An overvalued currency, low investment flow potential and moderate business environment leads to a negative outlook for Japanese investments.
Italy Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Italy (EUR) has a slowly developing capitalist economy with an industrial northern territory and an agricultural southern territory. Currency Analysis: Italy is part of the Euro economic zone, whose currency has the potential to decrease in value on a global scale per the purchase price parity analysis. Italian investment flow potential greatly improves their economic situation. Investor Survey: Italy’s economic environment is neutral for long term economic growth according to the investor survey. Trade Analysis: The UK, France, Germany and USA are the top export partners, while the leading industry is industrial goods manufacturing. Commodity Analysis: Italy produces a significant amount of textiles for use at home and as an export. SWOT Analysis: The leading Italian strength is tourism, while the main weakness is a declining birth rate. Unemployment and poverty are two important threats that may lower long term economic growth. Profit Conclusion: High investment flow potential and moderate a business environment lead to a slightly positive outlook for Italian investments.
