Research Report ►(comments)

Commodity prices change when there are unexpected changes to supply and demand of the target commodity. WikiWealth tries to predict these unexpected changes by examining the companies, which supply and demand the commodity (See Fundamental Commodity Analysis). When demand potential is greater then supply potential, then prices will increase; the opposite is also true. WikiWealth's Main Street Analysis captures - along with user help - the impact of supply and demand changes by analyzing the commodity's importance. In general, the more important the commodity, the faster the price will increase when commodity demand increases. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean the commodity has high potential to increase in value.

Coca Summary

Coca Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Coca is a stimulant with many medical uses. It helps with altitude sickness, fatigue, hunger, and thirst. Commodity: Coca is rated a Buy, because demanders of the plant have a high potential to increase in value. Unfortunately from an analytical standpoint, there are no publicly traded suppliers of coca; therefore, this analysis is incomplete. Investor Survey: Coca’s long term growth potential is moderately favorable due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Coca has a number of medical uses and it is drought and disease resistant; Weakness: The sale of coca produces considerable corruption and violence. Threat to grow: coca, in a concentrated form, is illegal throughout the world. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis buy rating indicates that coca should increase in price over the short term, whereas a moderately favorable investor survey means coca may increase in price over the long term.

Investment Impacts (help)

USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

Materials Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve)

Description: The materials industry includes companies whose sales originate from the mining, acquisition and sale of physical substances for manufacturing-related purposes. Read More.

Profit Analysis: The best way to profit from material stock is to find the most undervalued investments (Wall Street and Main Street buy ratings) during economic recessions. Those investments should be undervalued (see Wall Street on left side), and have high Main Street Common Sense investment ratings (see Main Street on right side). When an economic recovery occurs, material stocks tend to outperform the general stock market, because consumers and businesses must increase their inventories quickly to meet demand for manufactured goods. Consumers and business delayed purchases on items they wanted, but resisted buying during tougher economic times. Eventually, material company investments become overvalued, because profits and stock prices increase past their fair values. During the last stages of an economic business cycle, just before a recession, it is best to sell material stocks, because they are likely to decrease in price the fastest. Expensive (overvalued) stocks with low Main Street Common Sense ratings should be sold at any time to invest in better stocks. Two buys ratings are the best and two sell ratings are the worst possible stock investments.

Inflation Hedge: Changes in commodity prices affect material stocks. When commodity prices are high due to increased demand or lower supply, material stocks increase, because demand for their goods also increases. Inflation occurs when the price of goods and services increases. The price of materials are generally the first inputs into the production of goods, so changes in material prices directly affect the cost of products, which is measured by inflation. Therefore, a good hedge against inflation is to own material stock investments. When inflation increases, so do the profits of material companies, which may have directly contributed to the increase in prices.

Trading Strategy: During economic recessions, consumers tend to cut back on spending to save money. Businesses tend to cut back on investments. Industrial companies make the products bought by consumers and businesses, but to make those products, industrial companies must obtain materials. Less spending on goods decreases material business revenue and eventually decreases stock prices. During economic recoveries, consumers and businesses spend quickly to replace or catch up with quickly increasing demand. Material companies quickly receive orders from industrial companies who need to manufacture new products to meet quickly increasing demand. Higher spending increases material business revenue and eventually increases stock prices. During a longer economic expansion, consumer and business demand increases for material companies, but at a slower pace than during the recovery stage.

¹ WikiWealth only uses the largest 30 companies in each industry for the basis of these financial measures. Each statistic is the market weighted average of the 30 companies.

² Investment potential (margin of safety) is a weighted average of the discounted cash flow (DCF), the enterprise value (EV) market multiple, and the Warren Buffett investment methods.

Major Coca Producers ► Press "Edit / Improve"

Colombia Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Colombia (COP) has an agriculture-based economy, which produces large amounts of coffee for export. Currency: the Colombian currency has moderate potential to increase in value according to the purchase price parity. Investor Survey: government transparency is a major negative for Colombia and it leads to a much less favorable business environment. Trade: the US and Venezuela are Colombia’s top trading partners, while the leading export is coffee. Commodity: Colombia produces a significant amount of coffee for use at home and as an export. However, the economy and guerrilla military depend on the cultivation and export of cannabis. SWOT Analysis: The leading Colombian strength is their mineral resources, while the main weaknesses are crime and terrorism. A potential free trade policy is their main SWOT opportunity, while there are no immediate threats to report. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, low investment flow potential and unfavorable business environment lead to a negative outlook for Colombia’s investments potential.

Venezuela Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Venezuela (VEF) has a mixed economy dominated by the petroleum sector, but with a moderate service and industrial base to slightly diversify economic growth. Currency: Venezuela’s currency is correctly valued on a global basis. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very unfavorable for long term economic growth due to low scores on economic freedom, diversity, and the SWOT analysis. Trade: China, Netherlands, and the US are the top trading partners, while the leading export is petroleum and coca. Coca is especially damaging, because it leads to crime and corruption. Commodity: Venezuela produces a significant amount of crude oil and coca mostly as an export. SWOT Analysis: The leading strength is Venezuela’s participation in OPEC, the international oil cartel. Government nationalizations, crime and corruption are major SWOT weaknesses. Trading Strategy: A correctly valued currency, low investment flow potential and very unfavorable business environment lead to a strongly negative outlook for Venezuela.

Major Coca Consumers ► Press "Edit / Improve"

USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

European Union Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The European Union (EUR) is a single market and currency group of countries, which creates one of the largest and most diverse markets in the world. Currency: The EUR is fairly valued versus other major global currencies. They have a positive investment flow and negative purchase price parity. Investor Survey: the economic environment is favorable for long term economic growth due to favorable scores on government transparency and SWOT opportunities. Trade: Belgium, Hungary, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Norway and Japan are the top trading partners. Commodity: The EU does not produce many commodities, but they import many energy-related commodities from Russia and the Middle East. SWOT Analysis: The leading EU strength is their single currency and internal market, while the main weaknesses include a declining birth rate, labor restrictions and language barriers. New energy proposals have the opportunity to propel growth; there were no major threats to report. Trading Strategy: A moderately-valued currency, high investment flow potential, but low purchase price potential and negative SWOT weaknesses lead to a slightly negative outlook for EU investments.

SWOT Analysis - Coca ► Add Your Input Below

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