Research Report ►(comments)

Commodity prices change when there are unexpected changes to supply and demand of the target commodity. WikiWealth tries to predict these unexpected changes by examining the companies, which supply and demand the commodity (See Fundamental Commodity Analysis). When demand potential is greater then supply potential, then prices will increase; the opposite is also true. WikiWealth's Main Street Analysis captures - along with user help - the impact of supply and demand changes by analyzing the commodity's importance. In general, the more important the commodity, the faster the price will increase when commodity demand increases. A "Buy" rating from both approaches mean the commodity has high potential to increase in value.

Chicken Summary

Chicken Commodity Analysis ► (edit / improve) Chicken is the largest population of domesticated fowl. Chicken meat and eggs provide a significant source of protein for much of the world’s population. Commodity: Chicken is rated a Hold. Chicken demanders and suppliers have equal potential to increase in value; therefore, there should be no real change in price. Investor Survey: Chicken’s long term growth potential is average due to high scores on sensitivity to price changes and low scores in substitute products. SWOT Analysis: Strength: Chicken has many health benefits over other sources of protein; Weakness: chicken feed cost is substantial and can fluctuate over type. Threats to growth: the avian flu and other poultry diseases may hurt growth rates. Trading Strategy: The commodity analysis hold rating indicates that chicken should stay the same price over the short term and the average investor survey means chicken should stay the same in price over the long term.

Investment Impacts (help)

USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

Industry Investment Impact

Staples Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve) The consumer staple industry includes companies whose sales come from necessary consumer staple purchases such as rent, mortgage and food. Valuation: Based on WikiWealth's Wall Street analysis, this industry is a Hold, but with a ~ 30 percent potential. The Main Street analysis says a Buy with SWOT strengths much great than weaknesses and SWOT opportunities roughly the same as threats. Trade: Some of the main trade hubs include Argentina, Brazil, USA, Colombia, Greece, Italy, Turkey, and Indonesia, while the main staple commodities include chicken, corn, milk, oats, rice, sugar, wheat. Trading Strategy: The consumer staple industry tends to be less sensitive to economic cycles. Look for undervalued staple investments at any time in the business cycle when stock prices are low, and especially during the late stages of a bull markets when investors become more defensive. The global economy is currently in a recession, therefore, investors are rotating money out of consumer staples and into faster growth industries. Upward sloping stock charts and financial news may indicate a selling opportunity while the opposite means that stocks are becoming undervalued.

- Chicken is a staple food source in many countries. The growth of chicken importing countries will affect the price of chicken.

Materials Industry Analysis ► (edit / improve)

Description: The materials industry includes companies whose sales originate from the mining, acquisition and sale of physical substances for manufacturing-related purposes. Read More.

Profit Analysis: The best way to profit from material stock is to find the most undervalued investments (Wall Street and Main Street buy ratings) during economic recessions. Those investments should be undervalued (see Wall Street on left side), and have high Main Street Common Sense investment ratings (see Main Street on right side). When an economic recovery occurs, material stocks tend to outperform the general stock market, because consumers and businesses must increase their inventories quickly to meet demand for manufactured goods. Consumers and business delayed purchases on items they wanted, but resisted buying during tougher economic times. Eventually, material company investments become overvalued, because profits and stock prices increase past their fair values. During the last stages of an economic business cycle, just before a recession, it is best to sell material stocks, because they are likely to decrease in price the fastest. Expensive (overvalued) stocks with low Main Street Common Sense ratings should be sold at any time to invest in better stocks. Two buys ratings are the best and two sell ratings are the worst possible stock investments.

Inflation Hedge: Changes in commodity prices affect material stocks. When commodity prices are high due to increased demand or lower supply, material stocks increase, because demand for their goods also increases. Inflation occurs when the price of goods and services increases. The price of materials are generally the first inputs into the production of goods, so changes in material prices directly affect the cost of products, which is measured by inflation. Therefore, a good hedge against inflation is to own material stock investments. When inflation increases, so do the profits of material companies, which may have directly contributed to the increase in prices.

Trading Strategy: During economic recessions, consumers tend to cut back on spending to save money. Businesses tend to cut back on investments. Industrial companies make the products bought by consumers and businesses, but to make those products, industrial companies must obtain materials. Less spending on goods decreases material business revenue and eventually decreases stock prices. During economic recoveries, consumers and businesses spend quickly to replace or catch up with quickly increasing demand. Material companies quickly receive orders from industrial companies who need to manufacture new products to meet quickly increasing demand. Higher spending increases material business revenue and eventually increases stock prices. During a longer economic expansion, consumer and business demand increases for material companies, but at a slower pace than during the recovery stage.

¹ WikiWealth only uses the largest 30 companies in each industry for the basis of these financial measures. Each statistic is the market weighted average of the 30 companies.

² Investment potential (margin of safety) is a weighted average of the discounted cash flow (DCF), the enterprise value (EV) market multiple, and the Warren Buffett investment methods.

Major Chicken Producers ► Press "Edit / Improve"

USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

Brazil Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Brazil (BRL) is a member of the BRIC nations and has the largest economy in South America. Brazil has significant agricultural and industrial industries. Currency: the Brazilian currency has the potential to increase in value especially versus many developed market currencies. Brazil has high interest rates, low inflation and positive investment flow potential. Investor Survey: the economic environment is moderate, with low government transparency and high SWOT opportunities. Trade: China, Netherlands, Argentina and USA are the top trading partners. Brazil has significant export capabilities in agriculture and industrial products such as ethanol, sugar, oats, pork, corn, soybean and airplanes. Commodity: A favorable growth environment and car fuel demand create a significant and growing industry for Ethanol. SWOT Analysis: Ethanol is the leading US strength, while education, crime and income inequality are major weaknesses. A recent oil discovery is a major opportunity for Brazil, while the threat of HIV could slow growth and burden the health system. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, moderate investment flow potential and positive SWOT opportunities help Brazil, but fundamental weaknesses and government issues hold back Brazil’s potential.

Mexico Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) Mexico (MXN) has a capitalist economy with a fast growing service and industrial base. Currency: the Mexican currency has moderate potential to increase in value per the purchase price parity and interest rate parity analysis. Investor Survey: the economic environment is moderate for long term economic growth. SWOT weaknesses are significantly greater than SWOT strengths, whereas, opportunities are greater than threats. Trade: The US and Canada are the top trading partners, while the leading exports are in the industrial and agricultural sectors. Commodity: Mexico produces crude oil, corn, propane, silver, pork, oats, and chicken for export. SWOT Analysis: Transportation infrastructure and crime are the leading SWOT weaknesses, while tourism and education are the leading SWOT opportunities. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, low investment flow potential and unfavorable business environment lead to neutral or negative outlook for Mexican investments.

India Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) India (INR) has a highly regulated economy; however, recent liberalization has transformed the economy towards a capitalist, market-based system. Currency: India’s currency is fairly valued with very low investment flow potential combined with very high purchase price parity potential. Investor Survey: India’s economic environment is unfavorable for long term economic growth due to low scores on economic freedom, transparency, economic diversity, and the SWOT analysis. Trade: Belgium, Pakistan, the UK, Japan, and the US are the top export partners. Commodity: India produces a significant amount of staples for domestic use and needs to import energy. SWOT Analysis: The leading Indian strength is their supply of natural resources, while the main weakness is a lack of infrastructure. Trading Strategy: A fairly-valued currency, very low investment flow potential and an unfavorable business environment leads to a negative outlook for Indian investments.

Major Chicken Consumers ► Press "Edit / Improve"

USA Country Analysis ► (edit / improve) The United States (US) has a highly productive, capitalist economy and is the largest and most diverse market in the world. Currency: the US dollar (USD) has the potential to increase in value especially versus the Australian and Canadian dollar because of the significant potential of undervalued companies. Investor Survey: the economic environment is very favorable for long term economic growth due to high scores on economic freedom and economic diversity. Trade: China, Japan, Mexico, and Canada are the top US trading partners, while the leading export and import are electrical machinery and vehicles, respectively. Commodity: The US produces a significant amount of coal and wheat for use at home and as an export. However, the US consumes a larger amount of oil, which contributes to their trade deficit. SWOT Analysis: The leading US strength is its entrepreneurial culture, while the main weakness is high health care cost. Energy independence has the opportunity to propel growth, while the major threat is the housing crisis, which will lower growth. Trading Strategy: An undervalued currency, high investment flow potential and favorable business environment lead to a positive outlook for US investments, which will also benefit from positive international actions.

Source: http://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?commodity=broiler-meat&graph=production

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